What Role does Weather Play when Forecasting Bets on Football?

Analyzing the sporting event, the bettor looks at the teams rating, their game form, home/guest games statistics, the statistics of individual team players, but few people take into account the weather factor. But in many games it is the weather that has a big impact on the result. No pre-match analysis will be complete unless the weather conditions during the game have been taken into account.

Of course, not all sports have to take into account the weather. Basketball, table tennis, volleyball and many other sports are held indoors, so snow, rain, wind and fog can’t affect the outcome of these games. But there are many other sports, competitions on which are held in open areas. These include big tennis, football, hockey, bicycle race, horse racing, etc. In each of these sports the weather can contribute to the final result.

You only need to know the place and time of the game to see the weather forecast, but remember that there is nothing less permanent than the forecasts of the weather forecasters. They often make mistakes in their forecasts, especially for long-term forecasts. The closer the event, the more likely the forecast will be. Therefore, you need to apply to the weather forecast more than once. If the weather forecast is changed, the players’bets are also adjusted.

Frosty weather

Compositions of first-class teams are densely staffed by Brazilians, Argentines, Africans, for whom snow and frost on arrival in Europe look like a curiosity, if not a miracle. It’s no secret that playing in the frosty air is not easy even with the northerners accustomed to everything. Low temperature burns the lungs, hinders the actions of the player, the body spends extra calories on heating. Natives of warm countries, previously showing excellent quality football, are often lost, feeling at each time the skin of an unusual temperature.

Rosenborg. How to use the cold climate

The cold can include the countries of the Scandinavian Peninsula, Iceland and, of course, Russia. In winter it is very cold in Belarus and Ukraine. Realizing that closer to winter weather in these countries becomes more severe, the bettor can predict a successful result for the hosts the final result of the match. For example, take the performance of the Norwegian “Rosenborg” at the time of its highest dawn – at the beginning of this century. The club constantly played in the group tournament of the Champions League, and in its field – very even successfully. And his field at this club is in Trondheim, from which to the Arctic Circle you can go.

In the 2000/2001 season at home stadium, he did not lose a single match, beating Paris Saint-Germain with a score of 3:1. However, on a visit where the climate was already much warmer, “Rosenborg” was constantly bit, and the Parisians scored the Norwegians already seven goals. In the 2002/03 season, the Trondheimers were in a very strong group, with the addition of Inter, Ajax and Lyon. The Norwegians did not give a single victory in their field, but they were mercilessly beaten by Lyons 0:5 and Milan 0:3. A similar situation occurs in two years – a relatively successful performance at home and three defeats on the road. On a successful outcome of the match for “Ruseborg” is worthwhile, when the match takes place at its stadium closer to winter.

“Rosenborg” is an excellent example of a home team, which is helped not only by native walls, but also by climate. In addition to cold weather, the port of Trondheim is subject to frequent cold precipitation, even in early September, where snow prevails, and heavy winds from the sea. In Russia, frosts are even tougher, and one can’t help but notice that Russian clubs are much better at home.

Hot weather

Hot weather in Europe is not such a frequent occurrence as on other continents. Given the large number of legionnaires from warm countries, European teams can be considered sufficiently resistant to excessively high temperatures. Another thing is when the tournament takes place on another continent. At the World Cup in the US in the summer of 1994, many players complained about the unbearable heat and heavy acclimatization. The final of the championship was held in Pasadena, California. At the request of television, the game took place in the afternoon, and California in the summer – one of the hottest corners of the world. No wonder that the players for 120 minutes and did not score a single goal. The penalty was won by the Brazilian national team, and one of the best penalties of that time, Roberto Baggio was unable to get from the penalty spot even on target. Bookmaker offices pay little attention to such nuances, but an attentive bettor can benefit.

Rain, snow and field quality

The most serious obstacle to the successful performance of a technical team can be a difficult field. Torrential rain on the day of the match can bring the bettor to the idea that the chances of a more skilled opponent on a much-absorbed field fall somewhat, which increases the attractiveness of the bet on his opponent. Because of the downpour, the meeting can be interrupted, which, of course, in the hands of a weak opponent – he gets a breather.

The same goes for the frozen field. In western Europe, such a field is rare, but in Eastern Europe, especially after heavy snowfalls, some matches of European cups are held in extreme conditions, in which technical football players of the world football grandees do not always manage to cope with the hummocky lawn and poorly cleaned snow. Both snow and rain change the speed of the ball rolling across the field, the unevenness of the lawn can correct the trajectory of his flight and disorient the goalkeeper. A bad field equalizes the chances of rivals, which the bookmaker can’t always notice. Counting on high performance is simply naive.

Effect of wind, sun and fog on the outcome of the fight

In a strong fog, the match will simply be canceled, a faint fog can save a few goalkeepers. But the wind in open stadiums can be a big hindrance to teams to show high-quality football. Especially if the wind blows in the face of one of the teams. For example, in Iceland, almost all the time a strong wind blows from the sea. He can significantly change the trajectory of the ball, but in the first place he prevents the attacking team, which is going to storm the defensive redoubts of the opponent against strong gusts. The quality of the pass and the strength of the blow are severely affected. Bettor, having noticed this feature of the match, can try his luck in live, for example, assuming that disgusting weather conditions will not allow teams to open each other’s gates.

Atmosphere pressure

Under reduced pressure, athletes deteriorate coordination of movements and reduced efficiency. The higher the altitude of the terrain above sea level, the lower the atmospheric pressure. Many athletes have repeatedly stated in an interview that it is very difficult to play in Chile, the stadiums of which are often in high-altitude areas. At the same time, local players are accustomed to such conditions, so they easily tolerate low blood pressure.

The weather always affects the results of sports games, but you do not need to exaggerate its value either. If the forecast after 3 days will rain, this does not mean that it really will. In this case, bookmakers would not accept bets on the weather, everyone would trust the weather forecasters.

Take into account the weather especially when playing in Live, when you see weather conditions and can predict the course of events. Nevertheless, it is better not to take spontaneous decisions. You can even think about your steps before the game when weather changes, so that at the right time you can make an operational bet on overvalued odds.