Red Cards: Earn on Penalties and Removals

There are several scenarios for a player to receive a red card team:

• Receive two yellow cards;
• Rough foul or unsportsmanlike behavior;
• Foul last hope.

A yellow card in football is called a warning. The player receives such a signal from the referee when he is obviously fouls, breaks prospective attacks, deliberately plays with his hand, leads unnecessary discussions with the referee, and performs other unauthorized actions. If the same player gets the second card, it automatically means the presentation of red and removal from the field.

If a football player commits a foul, which he risks causing a serious injury to his opponent: he brushes his elbows off, walks with a straight leg, spikes into the bone, or goes trite to a fight — this is the removal immediately and directly.

There are also situations when the rest of the defense is played, and the player interrupts with a foul attack, which led to the exit one on one with the goalkeeper, or an empty goal completely. Such a situation is regarded by the arbitrator as a foul of last resort. It is also punished by removal.

It turns out that if the exit to the goal was interrupted before the penalty, and the judge saw a clear deprivation of the opportunity to score a goal, then this is a red card and a free-kick. However, if a violation occurred inside the penalty area, the situation changes. By FIFA recommendations, judges should avoid double punishment. It was considered that both the removal and the penalty are too harsh. Hence, a penalty is now put, and instead of the red one, the foul is shown yellow. Something like this.

Unpredictable factor

From the foregoing, it becomes clear that the red card is a force majeure in its purest form. Predicting this event is difficult, if not impossible. In one of the articles on the site, we even considered a game strategy aimed at appropriate bets, that there would be a red card in the match. For this event give a decent rate. So, when using progressive financial strategies and selecting matches according to some indirect signs, this is quite a viable scenario.

But to predict this one thing, but running into a red card in absolutely any match is quite possible. Speaking about indirect signs, we mean important matches, derby, the presence of rough players in the teams. However, the removal can get any player in any game. So the very appearance of a red box in the hand of the referee is an unpredictable factor.

Anyway, the better should be ready for such a development in every game. We need either a plan of action, if they are still relevant, or some relation to such situations. In many ways, and because of the red cards, you can never talk about “reinforced concrete” and 100% “sure bets”.

How many such “sure bets” have already drowned after the player’s removal of the team on which such self-confident betters were staked? Do not count! So what about any 100% probability of outcome is not worth talking about. This is a sport and can be anything. The red card is one of these “anything.”

Bet killer

Match scenarios are very diverse. But the removal of the player, as a rule, completely rebuilds the game, lets ashes the entire previous picture, and often the analyst’s forecast. Consider a number of typical cases when the deletion happens, how it affects the game and the result.

The player assumes the dominance of one of the teams and bet on their victory. In one case, the team can score a goal, lead in the account. Then they lose a player because of the red card, for a rather long period of time remains in the minority. Will it keep the minimum advantage in the bill? This is really a question. Of course, it all depends on the strength of your opponent.

But, as a rule, being in the numerical majority, even very modest teams go through the threads of the game in their legs, begin to dominate, crush the opponent. A “wounded” leader can resist, but it will not be easy. Maybe miss, even lose. In any case, the bet on the victory in such a scenario and a red card that has emerged becomes more threatened.

The second option is to delete with a tied score, 0:0, 1:1, and so on. Yes, there are cases in football practice, when a team gets deleted, but it still pushes, at least, skillfully plays on the counterattack, scores and wins. But such situations are extremely rare. Usually red in this situation automatically indicates that the bet on the victory will not pass.

Well, quite a sad third option. That team, on whose victory we bet, misses first, loses along the way, and then also gets deleted in its composition. This is generally a sentence.

Possible option with a bet on the individual total. We could bet that the team will score more than 1.5. And so, with one clogged up, or even without it, the team remains in the minority. As a rule, it will close, try to keep the score, at least not to lose. Strong teams in this position often agree to a draw. Very few people think about the second goal, except for absolutely desperate situations, when decisive games are played for departure and a goal is needed. Miracles are possible here. But if this is a game of the regular championship, and the finish is still far away, then no one will be a hero, but they will endure it.

Not less painful can strike removal on bets on total. The red card acts differently. Such a nuisance can force a strong team to close, to play to keep that account now. Weak opponent can demoralize. So, if you bet on a favorite, and then remove it, it is more likely that the total will be less as the game closes.

After all, the nominal leader, according to the pre-match alignment, would prefer to dry the game and make a draw, than to open up and in the minority will almost certainly lose. The outsider, having received a minority, will also sit very deeply. But for lower-level teams, this will surely mean defeat, and perhaps a major one. So such a scenario can kill a bet on a total less or a plus odds if we repelled in the pre-match prediction from an outsider.

Express and red cards

It is not superfluous to recall such bets as expresses. It is known that it is possible to combine several outcomes and collect a high ratio obtained by multiplying the indicators included in such a complex rate. Only one loss leads to the failure of the entire express. So, the more events we include in the expresses, the higher the risks of losing, including because of such force majeure as a red card.

Imagine that in some game we took the victory or even a simple goal of the team. And they grabbed the red card and dried the game at 0:0. This is just as one of the possible options. It may be even lost this club. That flies all the express. So if you use express bets, do not be greedy with the number of outcomes. Always remember about the possibility of running into the very same removal in one of the games.

Red Card Insurance

Some of the above-mentioned examples of the change in the game due to deletion, this is not a reason to be upset. Sometimes you can correct the situation, intervene in the game through live betting. With proper behavior, the better can save, if not all the money, then secure a significant part of the amount played.

Let’s go in the same sequence. Put to win the team, Home. They took the lead, and then got the deletion. Remember that in live you can put on X2, in contrast to the rate of Home, forming an arb. It is clear that with a goal scored and an account in favor of our team, the odds on the shoulder X2 grow up. However, we usually do not hurry to insure so early. But the card is trying to confuse the removal.

Such an event already distorts the line in the other direction. However, the odds are likely to remain favorable. It depends on the difference in the preliminary assessment of the teams by the bookmaker, as well as on the minute when the deletion occurred. In this case, the better is not worth it. It should instantly put on X2, overlap, while quotes have not yet sunk. In some cases, it is even possible to provide a winning scenario for any outcome.

If the removal took place with an equal score, then leave without loss will not work. However, the red is not so much distorting the line. You can still make a live arb. Yes, from 30 to 50% of the initial rate will be lost, but it is better to save part of the funds than to tempt fate, risking the entire amount. Deletion in a tied score is clearly a bad starting condition to expect victory from a team that is in the minority.

Well, the sad scenario is a missed goal, and then another red one. In this scenario, usually the odds on the opponent are already greatly reduced and there is no special sense in arbitrage. We have to accept defeat. But suddenly something happens along the way, our initial choice may even the score. In this case, there may be an opportunity for a more favorable arb. After all, all the same, even with the equalized score, there are more chances to put an opponent on the team, which plays in full force.

With regards to bets on goals, everything is about the same. If you put on Home Over (1.5), the team scored, and then grabbed the red one, then you can still quite profitably overlap the Home Under(1.5). If there were no goals yet and force majeure happened with the expulsion of a player from the field, then it would be advantageous to take Home Under (1.5).

Another case. They took a total of more than 2.5. But before the break, the score is 0:0 and one of the teams gets deleted. Most likely, there will be no more heads, or there will be only 1. It’s already difficult to count on three goals. On such timings, the odds on Under (2.5) are quite low. So good insurance will not work.

It can be a completely different matter if the account is open. For example, at 1:0, 0:1, making an arb on Under (2.5) can save the lion’s share of the amount of the original bet. It is even more profitable to insure if you already have 2 goals. In any case, if the red has happened, then you should not have illusions that the expected scoring feast will continue. As practice shows, red often leads to the closure of the game than vice versa. Of course, everything is tied to the motivation and difference of teams in the class, but basically this is the trend.

Red card and live betting

In addition to the insurance of already made bets, you can use the presentation of a red card, as a factor, a signal for a move in live. Let’s look at examples of how this can be done.

Imagine that the favorite team is leading in the account, and then gets deleted in its composition. What does this mean in terms of the movement of odds in live? Initially, after a goal was scored, quotes for an outsider rose. But after removal, the line moves in the other direction. Although the weight of the removal is usually not as great as that of the goal.

So in such a situation it is profitable to play in the live on the plus handicap of the outsider. Hardly the favorite, being in the minority, will be engaged in something else besides withholding the account. So an outsider who is in a predominant position has every chance to equal, or at least keep the existing difference in the account.

Around the same logic, you can act if the account is tied. The favorite is unlikely to win big if left without a player. There would be a draw to save.

If an outsider gets red, then you have to look at the style of the game. If this is a team with a strong defense, it is dangerous to bet on the favorite. After all, the coach of the team, remaining in the minority, will certainly remove the player of the attack, will release another defender or defender. It turns out consider a full-fledged composition, just with a weakened tip of the attack.

A “bus” will be built in two lines, which will be even harder to crack than with full trains. After all, the opponent will no longer think about attacks. In this scenario, it will be more literate to play the total less in live. If it opens the favorite defense, it is unlikely to score a lot.

If an outsider team tends to crumble, it is better not to bet on such a match at all. Having received 1-2, they can “float” and pick up a full shopping bag. This scenario also can’t be discounted.

In general, the red card distorts the line in live, but not as much as the goals. Although the advantage of one of their teams, this factor gives a tremendous, especially if the removal happened quite early, in the first half of the meeting, or soon after the break. Red cards, which are distributed at the end of the match, have little influence on what. This is already difficult to play, since the line is strongly skewed in the direction of the result that is already on the scoreboard. You can’t have time to realize a numerical advantage.

Conclusions

The red card is painful and cruel in many game situations. And it hurts not only for the team, which has received such a punishment, but often for the bettor, who bet on it. We outlined a range of techniques and opportunities, how to improve the situation, or even use the removal in football to our advantage. Use these practices in your practice.