Profitable Bets on Underdogs or Against Favorites

Bets on sports events allow you to live these moments more vividly and emotionally. Many bet, not especially counting on any gain. But there are people who are carried away by the game so much that they are able to extract a lot of profit from this entertainment. Professional players are looking for new strategies and opportunities for earning on the bets. One of the interesting and promising methods is betting on underdogs.

What is underdog?

In a simplistic sense, the word underdog in sport slang is called an outsider. Of the two opponents that are encountered during a sporting event, the underdog is weaker, from him with a high probability of expecting a loss. In contrast to the word underdog, the favorite expression is often used. This is the leader of the meeting, on whom all attention is directed. If you take the example of football, then the hypothetical meeting of Real Madrid and Russian Zenith, the favorite will definitely be the first. The second, respectively – the underdog.

Why you should bet on outsiders?

It’s no secret that the vast majority of bookmaker customers bet on favorites. This is not just a whim, but a kind of psychological trap. A person in the literal sense of the hand does not rise to bet on a weaker player. Even with one thought about it, he feels uncomfortable. But this is an ordinary person, and a professional considers the situation without emotions. His hand will rise to do anything to get a win and preferably a good one. Moreover, favorites can’t always win in all meetings. This is a completely natural pattern, it can and should be used.

So, the reason why the players are interested in underdogs is simple and trivial – these are high odds. If the favorite can be placed with a coefficient of 1. 5-2 (and in most cases, and there is no 1. 5), then the bet on the underdog can be made at 3-5% or more. If you work consistently, competently managing the game bank, then on outsiders alone you can get a good profit by the results of the month. But, like in any other business, it is necessary to have good training and own successful technology.

Strategies for betting on underdogs

In the gaming environment, there are several strategies for betting on outsiders:

• bet on underdogs in all matches in a row;
• bets on outsiders with a handicap;
• bet on underdogs with preparations.

Bets on underdogs in all matches

The first strategy is based on the hypothesis that if you bet on underdogs in all matches, then you can break a good jackpot. That is, in this case, players do not bother with the evaluation of the participants’ forces, as well as by studying various thematic information. You just need to bet on the weaker side in all the events of the chosen sport in a row.

One of the thematic resources decided to test this strategy. From the experiment, teams of outspoken outsiders were thrown out, who in principle very rarely win at serious championships. On the first day, bets were placed on 18 events (that is, all represented in the standings at that time), half of them ended in the victory of underdogs. This is actually a rare luck. On that day, the experimenters received more than $ 780 in net profit with the $ 360 deposited.

The next day, they were less fortunate, of the 19 announced events, the victory of the underdogs was completed only 4. Nevertheless, this day ended in a small but profitable outcome. Next, to continue the experiment, matches were selected in other leagues and there losses exceeded winnings, players lost money.

According to the results of the experiment, they came to the conclusion that it is unprofitable to select blind players for all matches in a row, choosing the weaker participants is unprofitable. Bets have to be done wisely.

Bets on outsiders with handicap

This is a safe option for betting on underdogs. Choosing a handicap, the player as if puts both a weak and a strong participant. Making this bet even psychologically easier. Some bets with odds are somewhat like a bookmaker’s sure bets. It happens that the teams are on their own at roughly the same level. And then the division into a leader and an outsider is conditional. In this case, it is definitely better to bet on an outsider with a handicap. The coefficient will not be very large, approximately at the level of the bet on the favorite, but at the same time the player expects a win in almost any scenario.

Bets on underdogs with preparation

This strategy involves making bets on a certain logic. It can be the choice of a particular sport or tournament with a large percentage of unexpected outcomes. Also, a player can have his own understanding of the situation in a certain sports environment and then he can successfully bet on underdogs in different tournaments. The main principle is careful preparation and analysis. Bets must be made only for those events for which there is a big chance of an outsider’s victory.

When bets on underdogs can be profitable?

As we have already said, a favorite simply can’t physically win absolutely every meeting. His strength is exhausted, in addition, he can have a weak motivation to win precisely in this meeting. There is also such a thing as uncomfortable rivals. All this leads to the fact that the underdogs (especially promising and punchy) win clear leaders. Bets on outsiders have a great chance of winning if:

• The underdog must be more or less stable, except he must play (or strive to play) well, it’s pointless to bet on frank losers;
• The favorite has some difficulties, fatigue has accumulated, in the substitution team, injury or disqualification;
• During the previous meetings of the same participants, the outsider did not lose the leader several times without a fight and was dry.

In addition, it is important to analyze many more parameters and data.

What you need to know to bet on outsiders?

Why does everyone bet on favorites? Because this solution lies on the surface. It is not necessary to make a thorough analysis of the game of clubs over the past few years to determine who in the upcoming meeting will have a better chance of winning. On the underdog successfully put professionals. These people are not only aware of all the news, details and trivia in the chosen sport, but also very attentive. For example, the outcome of a football match can be affected by a completely unexpected event, the same rain or, conversely, the heat. A competent player will among other things study even the weather forecast in the meeting area from a respected source, as well as:

• where the event will take place, and who will be in the stands;
• who will work at the meeting as a judge;
• what meetings of participants preceded the event, how they passed and how they ended;
• what is the situation in the coaching team of each of the participants;
• what is the physical form of the participants (especially the favorite)?
• what is the motivation of the favorite and the underdog to win at this meeting;
• how likely the match is;
• who of the players was injured/disqualified/sick/married/gave birth to the child/and the like;
• how many tournaments do both parties participate in parallel?
• will the club owners/politicians/state leaders/other prominent personalities be present in the stands?
• what is the state of the field and how thoroughly it was prepared for the meeting.

This list can be continued further, since the little things that can be decisive are simply the sea. Of course, it is impossible to learn absolutely everything quickly and reliably. But even from the data available in the access it is possible to draw quite working conclusions.

In the case of betting on underdogs, it is not necessary that each of them ends with a win. Half or even 30-40% is enough to have a net final profit.

The most attractive sports for betting on underdogs

The best sports for underdog betting are those where there is a high probability of unexpected outcomes. Most often, the pros bet on the underdogs in:

• football (although it is not considered to be the most unpredictable sport);
• tennis;
• basketball;
• hockey.

This is the most popular sports. Forecasts for them are published daily in two sections: free forecasts and paid forecasts. Of course, in other disciplines also have unexpected outcomes (for example, in cricket), but behind them is more difficult to observe, and there is limited number of events. That is, there is simply less room for maneuver. As for football, there are outsiders often win when the leader had already decided all their tournament problem and to underdog this meeting, on the contrary – the last chance to stay in the game. Also, unexpected outcomes are given by contractual matches, but only a limited circle of people knows the truth about them and it’s difficult to understand something from the side.

In hockey during the game season there are a lot of matches and players are very tired. Trainers tend to distribute the load so that the key players bring to the ice fresh and in excellent shape at the most important events. In other cases, the reserve team can play, and the outcome will not be as predictable as it seems at first glance.

In basketball, the game is played by stars – the most productive sportsmen. If in any match such a player does not participate, then the chances of the team to win are greatly reduced. Any state of the team immediately affects the results of the meetings, because due to the number of goals scored, basketball is the most objective game, accidents here do not play a big role.

In tennis, players who want to earn money on the underdogs should pay attention to women. It is in women’s tennis more surprises, strange and sometimes inexplicable outcomes. It is necessary to take into account the condition of the cover of the court, some athletes are good on one, but play poorly on the other.

Live bets on underdogs

There is an interesting real-time betting strategy for underdog. It, in fact, is the creation of a bookmaker’s arb, only while the game is at the same office. The sequence of actions is as follows:

• the bet on the underdog is made before the beginning of the event in the amount of 5% of the game bank;
• then you should wait for the beginning of the match and calculate in parallel the optimal coefficient for the favorite, based on the desired level of profit and common sense;
• Go to a bookmaker and place your bets right now.
• when betting on the favorite will reach the desired level, it is necessary to put the remainder of the pot at the meeting leader (by that time had become clear whether it makes sense to do so).

This is not an absolutely win-win strategy and it’s useless to use it without thinking. However, if you are confident in your strengths and analytical abilities, then it makes sense to try.

Key moments of bets on underdogs

So, as we see betting on underdogs – it’s a hopeless occupation, rather, on the contrary, if you do it wisely and deliberately. It is important not to forget such key points:

• bets on underdogs can be profitable only when the player carefully analyzes the situation around the upcoming meeting and makes sure that the outsider has objective prerequisites for winning;
• Find out which bookmaker you can get a sign-up bonus from.
• should develop their own strategy for betting on the underdogs, to exclude the influence of emotions and / or personal sympathy for the teams;
• it is worth considering the format and rules of the tournament, within the framework of which the meeting is held, it is these factors that often determine the motivation of the teams, and hence the probability of an unexpected outcome;
• the form of players, their moral and physical state play a huge role in the victory, it is important to know and consider this factor;
• We make dozens of free sports predictions every day.
• for such strategies, only those sports in which the player is thoroughly disassembled should be chosen, even if they are less likely to win outsiders than others.

Strategies for betting on the underdogs have emerged due to the desire to go against all, to break a big jackpot, to find the secret of a big win. But it should be remembered that regardless of which side you bet, weak or strong, it is important to include the head at full power. In some cases, the favorite is perfectly natural and expected, in others – the victory is given to the stubborn underdog. The player must clearly see the prerequisites for an unexpected outcome in advance and only then bet.