Is it Profitable to Bet Massively on the Victory of the Underdog?

Players of betting offices in 99% of cases start with bets on favorites. At first glance, why bother, if you can put on Barcelona, Bayern, Real Madrid, Juventus, Manchester City and other giants of European football and shoot vertices. But in practice, not everything is as smooth as on paper.

After a certain time, the player understands that he is going to minus, because toothy outsiders often gnaw out a draw, and sometimes even win. And after that, many review their principles of betting and completely differently look at the underdogs. Maybe it’s worth playing against the favorites on the strategy of betting on an outsider?

The essence of the strategy of betting on outsiders

Betting against the favorites is beneficial for several reasons, on which the strategy of bets for outsiders is based. Let’s talk about them in more detail.

The first reason is overestimated coefficients for underdogs

It is generally accepted that bookmakers assess the chances of teams when forming a line and set quotes according to the probability of one or another outcome. But in fact, analysts bookmakers it is important not only to correctly set the coefficients reflecting the chances of the teams, how many to predict what most of the better’s audience will bet on.

With this approach, bookmakers reduce their risks and receive a guaranteed profit from margin. Since most will bet on the favorite, they lower the coefficient by a strong team and, accordingly, raise the quotation on the underdog to keep the balance. It turns out that if the probability of winning Real corresponds to a coefficient of 1.25, then in the bookmaker office they give 1.12, realizing that Real Madrid will be loaded and, most likely, Madrid will win.

The second reason is the flow of bets on favorites

Few realize that the bookmakers’ odds on favorites are unprofitable. Players do not mind the understated quotes, and they still put on the grandees, even by the coefficients of 1.08 or 1.05, often choosing minus odds. After a large flow of bets on favorites bookmakers nothing remains, how to further reduce the coefficient of the eminent team and at the same time raise to the underdog.

The third reason – fixed matches

As you know, the easiest way to earn on contractual matches is to organize an outsider’s victory over a favorite. And there are plenty of such cases today.

Examples of strategy games against favorites

There are many variations on the strategy of betting on outsiders. The most radical is to bet on the victory of the underdogs. This approach attracts very high coefficients, but it is risky enough, because you will win very rarely even if you have very good knowledge of sports. However, if you have patience, Martingale can achieve good results, putting on the underdogs.

Less risky are the bets in the bookmakers to the outsider’s non-outs, that is, X2, and if the odds are too high for the favorite – a handicap plus one on a weak team.

However, the best option for the game against the favorites is to consider the betting strategy for an outsider goal. If you analyze the latest matches of top tournaments, you will see that the favorites often miss, and sometimes even a few balls. On the goals of the underdog give a very good odds, and on this you can build your game philosophy.

The betting strategy for an outsider in football

In order to successfully put on the underdogs in football, you need to understand this sport well and carefully select matches. Meetings are best suited where the favorite is in poor shape or did not have time to recover after a heavy match in the middle of the week in the Champions League. The outsider must also be a tough nut to stay in optimal conditions and it is desirable to have a good game statistics against the favorite.

The financial component for such bets can be the Frank Belanger system, Martingale, flat and other strategies for betting on football.

One of the varieties of this approach is the strategy of bets for a home underdog. As you know, most of the underdog sensations are presented in the native walls with the support of the stands, therefore, within the framework of this strategy it is necessary to put on football fights, in which a toothy outsider in his field confronts the grandee.

The strategy of betting against favorites in tennis

This strategy works well in tennis bets too. Players who understand this sport earn with it and call the game against the favorites of one of the best strategies for betting on tennis.

Less star players often beat on the court favorites, it only needs to remember how Novak Djokovic repeatedly conceded to his counterpart, although on his victory bookmakers gave a coefficient of 1.02. To play this strategy, it is better to choose less-status competitions, since the percentage of underdog victories in Grand Slam tournaments or masters is significantly lower.

Bets in their pure form on outsiders are just as unprofitable as betting on favorites. If you put it indiscriminately and analyzed, you will definitely be playing at a distance. But the truth is that bets on outsiders, as a rule, are void, that is, with an overestimated coefficient. If you choose between favorites and outsiders, then it’s better to stop the choice on the second, because in this case you will play against the majority and a priori at favorable bets.