How to Choose a Confidence Strategy Bet?

All betters know that the percentage of winning bets is not less important than the percentage of not made losing bets. It’s no secret that every player doubts for a moment before making a bet, and relies on the occasion. As a result, the intellectual game becomes a regular roulette, if we experience a state of uncertainty. Since most betters do not have enough knowledge for a thorough analysis of each match, we will bet on those games in which you are most sure.

Within this strategy, it is extremely important how to set and how much. Experienced players do not spray their attention, but make only 5-6 bets, which play almost 100%. These bets are called “iron”, or bums. The latter name is very suitable for this strategy. Betters who make more than 10 bets a month are thus insured, as they are less confident in their bets. It turns out that they act on the principle: let it be worse, but more. Unfortunately, this principle does not always justify itself.

There is a system for adjusting bets based on their reliability. At the same time, very high bets are set aside and just true. It is clear that the first type is a large amount.

In the proposed strategy, there is no such distinction. If you are not sure about the bet, then you do not need to make such a bet. If we are confident of 99.9%, then we set a fixed amount of money. Here, perhaps, the basis of strategy. We will play only by ordinaries. It is not necessary to explain why it is not necessary to put by express: the risk increases significantly and confidence in the bet decreases.

How to bet on the strategy of confidence?

So, the right choice will be 6-10 bets, which the player will make in a month. It will be much better than making dozens of bets, in which there is no full certainty. Also it is necessary to reduce the number of sports, preferably up to 1-2 titles. It must be a sport in which you have good knowledge. Suppose you are well versed in the championship of England. You will have to do an analysis of the statistics, because without this there will not be any forecast. But thanks to good knowledge of the features of the championship, it will be much easier to do, and the number of correctly guessed outcomes will increase significantly. As a result, you will choose up to 6-8 bets, the confidence in the outcome of which will be about 80%. This will give you a tangible profit after a month.

Three bases of strategy

The strategy itself is based on three principles:

  • the confidence bet is more than 80%. At least, you should be most sure that the bet will pass;
  • we bet on the ordinars, using the strategy of flat. Do not bet on express!
  • the bet coefficient should be 1.6-1.7.

Let’s look at an example. Let’s say that in a month we will make 8 bets on a coefficient of 1.7. The average amount of the bet will be 1000 dollars.

If the number of wins and losses is equal, then this is a critical moment for the strategy. Allow yourself to lose so much you can’t.

With five wins and three defeats, the result will be quite acceptable. At the same time, you stay in a good plus: +500 dollars.

To achieve the result of 6 out of 8 winning bets is quite possible. In this case, you will receive a profit of +2,200 dollars. To do this, your bids must be predictable percentage by 80%.

An extremely successful result can be 7 out of 8 winning bets. Achieving it is difficult. But if you succeed, the profit will be +3900.

How to successfully bet?

It is important not only confidence in bet, but also its amount. It should not exceed 5-10% of the total amount of the bank. If you are absolutely sure of the outcome, the percentage can be raised, but this is at the discretion of the better. It is better to be safe. The coefficient can also be chosen higher, but the selected figure of 1.7 is not accidental. This ratio is closer to the victory, rather than to defeat. Even if the coefficient has risen by one tenth, it is no longer profitable to bet on such an outcome according to this strategy.

Despite the fact that the name of the strategy involves a category such as feeling, in betting analysis should prevail over intuition. You should be prepared for the fact that the bet can lose. However, this is not an excuse to begin to recoup, putting everything in order. On the contrary, this means that the analysis must be approached even more carefully. Wins you must be able to afford. To play it is necessary exclusively on a long distance: only in this case it is possible to cover a small percentage of the loss.

Conclusions

So, you can play with this strategy. It is unlikely that it will suit newcomers, because there is no clear confidence in the outcome of the match for this category of betters. It is not yet possible to analyze well the novices’ matches: the circle is closed. While the player does not achieve high results in the forecasts and will not learn to find 5-6 sure bets, the strategy is better not to touch.

Judging by the feedback, the strategy can work, but it all depends on the better. Some get 90% of the bank within a month, and some complain that the turnover is too small. There are just a few players who have gone into minus. The strategy does not suggest them: if you go into minus, it means that you are sure of less than 50% of your bets, and this is a violation of the rules of the strategy.

The bad thing is: confidence is a very slippery concept, and it is easily confused with intuition. Even if you analyzed the statistics, took into account all the points, the outcome can be if not opposite, then different than expected. It is worth remembering that analysis is also not a panacea, otherwise all the betters have been winning a long time. Analytics is only a way to get closer to the truth.

Playing on the strategy of confidence, you can apply, including to other people’s forecasts. This is also permissible, especially since someone else’s experience can prompt unexpected solutions. In general, it does not matter how you get the result of confidence. One thing is important: you must be convinced of the outcome by more than 80%.

SK Dnipro-1 - Kryvbas
Football. UKRAINE: PREMIER LEAGUE
FC Hermannstadt - Poli Iasi
Football. ROMANIA: LIGA 1
Drogheda - Dundalk
Football. Ireland. Premier Division
Ural - Baltika
Football. RUSSIA: PREMIER LEAGUE
Crawley Town - Milton Keynes Dons
Football. ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO
Crawley - MK Dons
Football. ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO
Ittihad Kalba - Emirates Club
Football. UNITED ARAB EMIRATES: UAE LEAGUE
Khorfakkan - Al Ain
Football. UNITED ARAB EMIRATES: UAE LEAGUE
Slavia Sofia - Arda
Football. BULGARIA: PARVA LIGA
FC UTA Arad - FC U Craiova
Football. ROMANIA: LIGA 1
Fakel Voronezh - Zenit St Petersburg
Football. RUSSIA: PREMIER LEAGUE
Veres Rivne - Minaj
Football. UKRAINE: PREMIER LEAGUE
Salernitana - Atalanta
Football. ITALY: SERIE A
Bohemians - Galway
Football. Ireland. Premier Division
Shamrock Rovers - Waterford
Football. Ireland. Premier Division
Sligo Rovers - St. Patricks
Football. Ireland. Premier Division
Salernitana - Atalanta
Football. Italy Serie A
Crewe - Doncaster
Football. ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO
Crewe - Doncaster
Football. ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO
Al Bataeh - Al Wasl
Football. UNITED ARAB EMIRATES: UAE LEAGUE
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai - Al Sharjah
Football. UNITED ARAB EMIRATES: UAE LEAGUE
Vejle - Odense
Football. DENMARK: SUPERLIGA
Pogon Szczecin - Pogon Szczecin
Football. POLAND: EKSTRAKLASA
Antalyaspor - Pendikspor
Football. TURKEY: SUPER LIG
Konyaspor - Fenerbahce
Football. TURKEY: SUPER LIG
Vejle - Odense
Football. DENMARK: SUPERLIGA
GAIS - IFK Goteborg
Football. SWEDEN: ALLSVENSKAN
Botev Plovdiv - CSKA 1948 Sofia
Football. BULGARIA: PARVA LIGA
Beitar Jerusalem - SC Ashdod
Football. ISRAEL: LIGAT HA'AL
Hapoel Hadera - Maccabi Petah Tikva
Football. ISRAEL: LIGAT HA'AL
Sakhnin - Maccabi Tel Aviv
Football. ISRAEL: LIGAT HA'AL
CSKA Moscow - Rubin Kazan
Football. RUSSIA: PREMIER LEAGUE
Lokomotiv Moscow - FK Rostov
Football. RUSSIA: PREMIER LEAGUE
Excelsior - Nijmegen
Football. NETHERLANDS: EREDIVISIE
Univ. Craiova - FCSB
Football. ROMANIA: LIGA 1
Udinese - Napoli
Football. ITALY: SERIE A
Derry City - Shelbourne
Football. Ireland. Premier Division
Udinese - Napoli
Football. Italy Serie A
Crystal Palace - Manchester United
Football. ENGLAND: PREMIER LEAGUE
Lille - Lyon
Football. FRANCE: LIGUE 1
Crystal Palace - Manchester Utd
Football. ENGLAND: PREMIER LEAGUE
Lille - Lyon
Football. FRANCE: LIGUE 1
Florida Panthers - Boston Bruins
Hockey. USA. NHL
New York Knicks - Indiana Pacers
Basketball. USA: NBA
Denver Nuggets - Minnesota Timberwolves
Basketball. USA. NBA
Achnas - AEL Limassol
Football. CYPRUS: CYTA CHAMPIONSHIP
Karmiotissa - Nea Salamis
Football. CYPRUS: CYTA CHAMPIONSHIP
Othellos Athienou - Doxa
Football. CYPRUS: CYTA CHAMPIONSHIP
VfL Osnabruck - Schalke
Football. GERMANY: 2. BUNDESLIGA
Al Wahda - Al Nasr
Football. UNITED ARAB EMIRATES: UAE LEAGUE
Royal AM - Cape Town Spurs
Football. SOUTH AFRICA: PREMIER LEAGUE
Supersport Utd - Sekhukhune
Football. SOUTH AFRICA: PREMIER LEAGUE
Besiktas - Ankaragucu
Football. TURKEY: TURKISH CUP
Buducnost - Partizan
Basketball. EUROPE: ABA LEAGUE
Bolton - Barnsley
Football. ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE
PSG - Dortmund
Football. EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE
Panathinaikos - Maccabi Tel Aviv
Basketball. EUROPE: EUROLEAGUE
Caracas - Penarol
Football. South America. Copa Libertadores
Rosario Central - Atletico-MG
Football. South America. Copa Libertadores
Nacional Asuncion - Corinthians
Football. South America. Copa Sudamericana
Racing Montevideo - Argentinos Jrs
Football. South America. Copa Sudamericana
Vancouver Canucks - Edmonton Oilers
Hockey. USA. NHL
Dep. Tachira - Libertad Asuncion
Football. South America. Copa Libertadores
Nacional - River Plate
Football. South America. Copa Libertadores
Palestino - Flamengo RJ
Football. South America. Copa Libertadores
Cesar Vallejo - Ind. Medellin
Football. South America. Copa Sudamericana
Alianza - Cruzeiro
Football. South America. Copa Sudamericana
Ameliano - Danubio
Football. South America. Copa Sudamericana
U. de Deportes - Junior
Football. South America. Copa Libertadores
Always Ready - Defensa y Justicia
Football. South America. Copa Sudamericana
Oklahoma City Thunder - Dallas Mavericks
Basketball. USA: NBA
Zakakiou - Apollon
Football. Cyprus. Cyta Championship
Greece - Netherlands
Handball. WORLD: WORLD CHAMPIONSHIP
Romania - Czech Republic
Handball. WORLD: WORLD CHAMPIONSHIP
Club Brugge KV - Fiorentina
Football. Europe. Europa Conference League
Golden Arrows - Mamelodi Sundowns
Football. South Africa. Premier League
Orlando Pirates - Chippa Utd.
Football. South Africa. Premier League
Polokwane - Richards Bay
Football. South Africa. Premier League
Stellenbosch - AmaZulu
Football. South Africa. Premier League
Karagumruk - Trabzonspor
Football. Turkey. Turkish Cup
Monaco - Fenerbahce
Basketball. EUROPE: EUROLEAGUE
Barcelona - Olympiacos
Basketball. EUROPE: EUROLEAGUE
Peterborough - Oxford Utd
Football. England. League One
Real Madrid - Bayern Munich
Football. Europe. Champions League
Faroe Islands - North Macedonia
Handball. WORLD: WORLD CHAMPIONSHIP
Spain - Serbia
Handball. WORLD: WORLD CHAMPIONSHIP
Iceland - Estonia
Handball. WORLD: WORLD CHAMPIONSHIP
Talleres Cordoba - Barcelona SC
Football. South America. Copa Libertadores
Rayo Zuliano - Athletico-PR
Football. South America. Copa Sudamericana
Sp. Luqueno - Coquimbo
Football. South America. Copa Sudamericana
Alianza Lima - Cerro Porteno
Football. South America. Copa Libertadores
Cuiaba - Metropolitanos
Football. South America. Copa Sudamericana
Nacional Potosi - Fortaleza
Football. South America. Copa Sudamericana
Botafogo RJ - LDU Quito
Football. South America. Copa Libertadores
Cobresal - Sao Paulo
Football. South America. Copa Libertadores
Sportivo Trinidense - Boca Juniors
Football. South America. Copa Sudamericana
Millonarios - Bolivar
Football. South America. Copa Libertadores
Vancouver Canucks - Edmonton Oilers
Hockey. USA. NHL
Kolos Kovalivka - FK Zorya Luhansk
Football. Ukraine. Premier League
Royale Union SG - Antwerp
Football. Belgium. Belgian Cup