Feel the Approach of Revanche and Place a Bet

Psychology is of great importance in so many aspects that relate to sports betting. Moreover, such subtle moments take place both on the side of athletes and teams, and on the side of the player who puts on their confrontation. This is not surprising, because in betting, as well as in sports, people participate.

And all of us are irrational creatures, more or less susceptible to mood swings and the influence of various motivating factors. The better a bettor understands the intricacies of the psychology of athletes, the higher his chance to give a correct forecast, to win a bet.

Factors affecting result

Many factors influence athletic performance. Some of them are objective, such as a class of athletes, experience, teamwork, high tasks. But all serious forecasters know that motivation is always the number one factor. More precisely, motivation as a foundation. If it is, a further forecast is already being built from it.

It is especially cool when there is a difference in motivation between rivals. This is a serious reason for making a decision in one direction or another. If there is no motivation, as is often the case in friendly matches, then betting is not recommended at all.

The most obvious and basic is the tournament motivation of teams or athletes when it comes to individual disciplines. This level is understandable and easy to track. All layouts are in sight. However, in some sports confrontations there may be additional motivation, which is not obvious at first glance, but can significantly affect the result. And one of the types of such incentives is sports pride and anger, if someone hurt her.

And there may be several options for the scenario, which we will analyze further, although the mechanism is the same. One of the opponents inflicted an insulting defeat, and the team or athlete is trying to restore the reputation of the favorite, restore the status quo, defend the sports honor, his own and the fans. Such a revenge can be embodied in various forms. We will go to them.

Rehabilitation in front of the fans

A classic scenario that fuels revanchist sentiment is a major defeat. For example, a fairly strong team goes on a trip and loses there with a big score. As a rule, when it comes to football, then 2-0 is a borderline option. And then completely working accounts go so that there is something to make excuses for: 3:0, 4:0, 5:0, 4:1, 5:1 and the like. This is especially true for teams that do not often lose so devastatingly. After such an annoying misfire, the athletes will be angry with themselves. Also, fans will be angry at them, which will inevitably come through from the press, social networks, and sound unequivocally from shouts from the stands.

Yes, usually athletes themselves understand everything. And for a better, such a defeat of a team escaping from a series of results is a signal to wait for rehabilitation. Usually, they try to play such a match with an “indicative flogging” of an opponent at home. So after the exit fiasco, the indicative answer may not happen in the cup match in the middle of the week, if, moreover, it will be away and against a weak opponent. Rather, you need to look at the next home championship match.

You can rehabilitate yourself before the fans only by winning, or at least scoring many goals, if it is not about such a strong team. So the first bet you need to look at is an individual total of 1.5 or 2 more. Then, based on their status as rivals, for a simple victory, or with a handicap (-1) at home.

And the same scenario is often caught in other sports: hockey, basketball. Should a leader of a championship or some strong club suddenly and big lose away, their next opponent, especially in their first home game, you will not envy. Experienced forecasters capture such results and successfully earn on them.

A contraindication to such a strategy can be only one situation when a team, already in a systemic crisis, has already lost several matches and is experiencing difficulties due to an epidemic of injuries. Such a maneuver should be beaten with a bet on rehabilitation only if the defeat is unexpected and looks like a short breakdown, and not a trend.

This we have sorted out the option that can be used without delay after the defeat of a grand or just a strong club. But, as you know, revenge is a dish that is served cold. Of course, the team will not forget who inflicted that insulting defeat on them.

Rematch before the same opponent

Clubs meet with each other with a known frequency. So the offender will certainly be met either in the next round of the championship or in the cup. And here it is very important for the betting player to pay attention to such a column of statistics as the history of personal meetings. If the last match between these teams was marked by defeat on the part of one of the opponents, then in the next match the other side will try to take revenge. Especially if you lost then away, and now the meeting will be at home. Yes, this is not very important. Even on the road they will “bite” and try, at least, not to repeat shame.

When choosing a specific bet you need to evaluate the balance of power of rivals. If the defeat from the past was a sensation, then it is worth waiting for the Alaverdi, in the form of a complete “removal” already from the side of a strong team with wounded pride. If the teams are equal, then at least we will have goals from the revenge side. If a large underdog is lost, then this can stimulate a better play in defense, prevent the same defeat, and if possible score at least 1 prestige goal.

Using all these points, you get much more accurate predictions than if you evaluate matches simply by statistics. It is these nuances that are the stumbling block for the success of many statistical forecast generators. Impossible to describe emotion. Sports anger, wounded honor, a thirst for revenge, revenge with this opponent — these are the factors that are very difficult to fit into numbers. These are the “strokes” that very significantly supplement the forecast picture, confirm the fact that sports analytics have an integral element of creativity.

So whoever puts only on the basis of numbers can hardly pass the distance stably in plus. The psychology of athletes must be taken into account without fail. And the forecaster himself must be a good psychologist, be able to literally read minds and capture the emotions of players and coaches from a distance. And these are not empty words, not a joke, the way it is. Moreover, this is a perfectly attainable level of skill. It is enough to practice posing oneself, mentally, in the place of great athletes and their mentors.

The old “tooth”

Revenge is not only cold, but also quite frozen. The fact is that teams may not meet for many years. For example, a significant failure for one of the rivals could fall on the country’s cup, or even a Eurocup match. And the teams will meet again only after 10-20 years or even more. Everyone has statistics. The coach of any team will not fail to take advantage of an additional motivator. Hey guys, “bad people” from such and such a club, beat your predecessors 4-0 in the “nth terry year”. So we will avenge the honor of the club.

Somehow it will sound. So even if for specific players this is an ancient defeat and does not mean anything, they will be informed of this through the connection of the times and generations of players of the same team. There is no doubt that large fiasco has no statute of limitations and the revenge, revenge factor will be pulled out like a joker from a deck of cards. Of course, you need to play smartly on this, select bets, keeping this factor in mind.

Single Opponent Series

Another interesting trend is observed if the same teams or athletes are forced to compete with each other several times in a short period of time. For example, it can be two championship games, at the junction of two circles, as well as a match in the cup if clubs hit each other during the draw. The classic version of this scenario is a series of playoffs in hockey or basketball, when the same opponents play up to four wins.

In such a scenario, one truth must be remembered: very rarely such series will have uniform results. 3-4 victories of one team in a row, with an approximately equal score — this is nonsense, even if it is stronger. The opponent adapts and very often there is either a stubborn fight after the defeat, or a reciprocal battle victory, or a “grassroots” draw after a very productive fight. Assessing the results of the first games, an experienced better puts in contrast, trying to predict the result of a new confrontation. And often it turns out.

For example, if in a championship a team recently confidently and dryly beat their counterpart, then in the next match of the cup with him, it’s worth waiting for either a rematch or a “hack” with a draw. Or if in the first game someone did not manage to score, then in the nearest payback the chance for it greatly increases. This is not a dogma, but rather lengthy observations of various sports speak in favor of such a development of sports scenarios.

Conclusions

As you can see, the factors of a rematch, revenge, rehabilitation, serial meetings with the same opponent, leave a serious imprint on sports results. Therefore, those forecasters and bettors who can read such moments and correctly interpret, invest in their bets will benefit. Now you will be more attentive to such nuances. This will help to avoid mistakes and, on the contrary, make more accurate and reasonable bets, which in the distance will give a good gain to the bank.

In any case, the utilitarian approach to forecasting, purely on statistics, does not bring anything good in the long, and even in the medium term. There is always an element of creativity in analytics and forecasting. Such a vivid emotional factor as revenge is just one of the important nuances in a successful betting game.