Can Players Control Randomness While Placing Bets?

Randomness, Random, Chaotic – each of these words carries a similar meaning. In betting, the proportion of chance is so great that few of you can accept it.

This does not mean that winning the bet is a complete success. Many on BetShip. Ru have proven and continue to prove otherwise. But even for the best forecaster/analyst/privateer, a series of defeats is inevitable, some can be surprisingly long.

A negative balance on a 200+ bet range from a successful marque is a common thing, although each of us thinks otherwise.

When this happens (or vice versa: a bad marque falls on a whole succession of luck) – this is the share of chance in betting.

Sequences or Stereotypes?

A person is arranged in such a way that he is unable to understand an unstable and random process.  People in their essence – seekers of patterns.

Let us prove this with an example.  From ancient times people knew that dark clouds on the horizon – this is to rain, moisture, dampness. Knowledge came not by scientific means, but by observation.  As children, we roll up the tantrum, and pretty soon we realize that thanks to this we can get some good.

The person quickly discovers the sequence, it is laid on the genetic level, since this moment was important for evolution.  That is, when receiving information, the human brain tries to automatically process it.

Why are people superstitious?

Quite often this process (search of sequences) has amusing consequences.  From time to time a person finds sequences where they can’t be a priori.  This is superstition.

Surely you met people at the stadium who, for example, do not wear a scarf of your favorite team because “when I wear this scarf – my favorite team loses”.  It’s familiar, is not it? The reason for this superstition in man was the banal situation – twice in a row he wore a scarf and his team lost.  Then he did not dress – and the team won.

For some, the sample size may not even exceed two units to arrive at a conclusion.

The basis of the sample is a description (list) of all units of observation of the initial population, which is used to select the units of selection and observation.  Most often the concept is applied to the unit of observation.  Volume – a quantitative parameter of a sample set

Once we have established a sequence, we immediately begin to see the factors that support our sequence.  Similarly, we tend not to notice factors that disprove the sequence.

Yes, it is difficult to change the opinion on this issue, but remember, once you have found some consistency – remember – NO SEQUENCE.

Randomness / Chance is a big problem, because it is incredibly difficult to re-recognize the lack of consistency.  This limits our intuition – it turns out that there are processes that we can’t predict.

Man is so stuck in a world where there are all sorts of sequences, that thinking is otherwise simply incapable.  It manifests itself in absolutely everything.  For example, you believe in astrology, then connect any of your troubles with the unfavorable phase of the moon.  There are a lot of such examples.  However, I note, the lack of sequences does not mean the absence of a causal relationship.

Winner by right or lucky?

Here we go back to the topic of betting.  Random events are very similar to nonrandom events (where there is a causal relationship).  So, to test a privateer you need to know a minimum of a sample of 200 or more bets.  In addition, this sample will be useful even for yourself.  Of course, you can say that remember all your bets, however, I assure you, this is not so.

What do we get at the output? If you want to act as a professional player – you need to account.  There is no other way out.  So why not publish your bets with the elementary arguments that pushed you to make a bet? Perhaps this will not help to predict the greater percentage of matches correctly, however, this will help to identify their weaknesses. Remove them from their “arsenal”, and play on their strengths. Here is appropriate quotation:

“It is impossible to defeat all – but it is possible to become invincible”.

In the Chinese manner sounds differently:

“The possibility of victory lies in the enemy, invincibility is in you”.