Answer to the Popular Question of Tipsters

In this article we will try to answer the question that worries many tipsters. What is better: prematch or live? First of all, we will talk about live-bets on football, but some tips are universal – they are suitable for a wide range of sports disciplines.

In football matches, there are two key points:

  • 30th minute of the game;
  • 70th minute of the game.

The first mark makes it clear the general game trends, where the game will go further. Usually after 30 minutes it becomes clear what bets can play in a match. For example, if the teams did not open the score in 30 minutes, but the game cannot be called closed, then it is logical to consider the option with a bet on Over (1.5) in the match.

The second mark reports the start of the final segment. Often it is in the last 15–20 minutes that significant events for the outcome of the game take place on the football field. If you are watching a match, then by the 70th minute the general trends are already visible, you can find some illogicalities in the odds of bookmakers and use them to your advantage.

This does not mean that live-bets in a football match can only be done on the 30th and 70th minutes. In the end, there is no universal rule that fits all. Nobody forbids you to develop your own strategy of live-betting, but first you need to choose tactics.

In live betting, there are two main tactics:

Each tactic has supporters. But no one bothers to change tactics in the course of the match and adapt to the events. For example, if a defensive option is chosen, and a goal is scored, you can replay everything – make a second bet in an aggressive style.

Much more difficult in the opposite situation – you put on scored goals (Over or “both score”), and nothing happens in the match. Of course, you can also make the opposite bet without waiting for the end of the match, but this threatens to lose both bets.

It does not matter which tactic for live betting is chosen, but it is important to follow the basic rules.

Always do a pre-match analysis. If it seems to you that a detailed analysis of the upcoming game is needed only for pre-match bets, then you are seriously mistaken. The study of statistics and a full analysis before the match will be extremely useful for live betting.

For example, you studied a match and roughly imagine its intended course. At the beginning of the game an unexpected event occurs, but it was rather random. If you are confident in your analysis, you can make a profitable live-bet on the event you need. After 10-15 minutes, the game will calm down, and the odds will be leveled. It is important not to miss the moment.

Follow odds after goals scored. The main surge in the live-line of the bookmaker occurs after the goals scored. Changes to the line are directly dependent on the players’ bets – if they start betting on Over (2.5) after the goal is scored, then the odds for this bet will fall, and on Under (2.5), on the contrary, will increase significantly.

What to bet on in live? For example, a detailed pre-match analysis was conducted. You know the game features of both teams and roughly imagine what the picture will be in the match. In this case, it makes sense to bet on the favorite of the game, if the beginning of the game is not successful for him. This approach has 2 logical arguments:

  • Based on the pre-match analysis, you understand that a bad start of a favorite in a match can be a temporary phenomenon. Here it is important to watch the game live to observe everything that happens. For example, at the beginning of the match, the favorite gets a controversial penalty into his own net.
  • A bad start to a match always affects the odds of a favorite. Before the game, he was given odds close to the minimum. If the team has started badly, then the numbers for its victory in the live-line will grow. The bet will be attractive if you successfully catch the moment.

Here you can try against the background of the growth of the odds on the favorite, not only to bet on his clear victory (Home or Away), but also to take a minus handicap. For example, you are sure that Liverpool, who missed at the start of the home match, will correct the situation, there is an option with a more risky bet – Home (-1).

Bets on goals at the end of the match. For example, the game takes place in an attacking style, the score is tied, but both teams are determined to snatch victory. If teams fly through the center of the field and exchange sharp attacks, it is logical to expect new goals. In this case, it makes sense to look at the bets on goals in the last 15 minutes or bets on Over.

Again, it is important to follow the match and know the context. There may be a reverse situation where teams play not too actively, and no one wants to take risks (for example, both sides are fighting for survival). Here, bets for goals or Over are less likely to succeed.

Bets on Home Over. If a strong team meets with an outsider, then in live it is very profitable to bet on an individual total Over for the favorite. Such bets can be on the performance in one of the halves or in the whole match. The advantage of such a bet in live is that here you can watch 20-30 minutes of the game and make sure of the attacking mood of the favorite.

Bets on removal or penalty. Such bets are logical to be done exactly in live. You watch the game and see when passion begins to boil. This can often be seen in games of principled rivals.

If you choose defensive tactics, almost all of these options can be expanded in the opposite direction: no handicaps or Under, no bets on Away Under, no deletion or penalty, etc. The important point is that live-bets are reasonable to do if you really watch the match on TV or on the Internet and they are based on something.

The main differences between prematch and live bets:

  • Before the match, bookmakers do not expose the line from the ceiling. They have entire analytical departments that calculate 500 factors. Then odds will vary depending on the number of players, but there are usually no significant differences. In live everything is different – any game event seriously affects odds. There is a higher chance to catch a cool bet at a high ratio.
  • In the pre-match betting chances are more likely to be wrong with the analysis. For example, you studied the statistics of teams, personal meetings, the current form and approximately presented a game plan. The problem is that the coaching staffs may have a completely different game plan. In live bets you will see that the game is in different scenario and adjust bets.
  • In live bets you have more information. You are watching the game with your own eyes and can adjust your pre-match ideas. The compositions here are not approximate (as before the match), but quite real, as is the game plan of the two coaching staffs.
  • Live bets are both easier and more difficult for players. On the one hand, you see the match and you can adjust along the way. On the other hand, the odds are constantly changing and you need to be able to seize the moment. This only comes with experience, plus you need to act coolly. For novice players this will be a problem.
  • Usually in live there are more markets for bets, ratios are changing rapidly and there is an opportunity to make a legal “arb”. If you made a pre-match bet on one outcome, then no one bothers to block it with another bet in live. Conventionally, this can be called an “arb” when you have caught good odds, the gain from which will override the sum of both bets.

Live bets give players a great field for experimentation. Here you can create your own plan or strategy. But such bets are more suitable for experienced players who better understand the principles of movement of the line and know how to control emotions.

Another important nuance – a competent pre-match analysis. This is important for any bets. If you are not doing a match analysis, the chances of success are rapidly falling. In live, you can navigate during the match and make a successful bet, but without a full analysis it is much more difficult to do.

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